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  • Writer's pictureLeonora Lo-oy

Kalinga may experience drought by end of February due to El Niño-PAGASA

Updated: Feb 9

Tabuk City, Kalinga – The Province of Kalinga may experience a drought by the end of February as the El Niño phenomenon is expected to peak this month.


On Tuesday, February 6, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) reported that 35 – 50 % of the country may experience below-normal rainfall conditions.


PAGASA noted that this may intensify dry spells and droughts in areas of the Philippines. By the end of the month, 24 provinces in Luzon and one in Visayas may experience drought or a prolonged period of low rainfall leading to a shortage of water.

Among these provinces are Kalinga, Abra, Apayao, Aurora, Bataan, Benguet, Cagayan, Cavite, Ifugao, Ilocos Norte, Ilocos Sur, Isabela, La Union, Metro Manila, Mountain Province, Nueva Ecija, Nueva Vizcaya, Occidental Mindoro, Palawan, Pangasinan, Quirino, Rizal, Zambales, and Negros Occidental.


A dry spell, or three consecutive months of below-normal rainfall conditions, is forecasted over Batangas, Laguna, Masbate, Oriental Mindoro, Antique, Biliran, Capiz, Cebu, Eastern Samar, Guimaras, Iloilo, Leyte, Negros Oriental, Samar, Lanao del Norte, Sulu, and Tawi-Tawi.


Dry conditions, or two consecutive months of below-normal rainfall, may also occur in Bulacan, Bohol, Siquijor, Southern Leyte, Camiguin, Misamis Occidental, Misamis Oriental, Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Norte, Zamboanga del Sur, and Zamboanga Sibugay.


El Niño will likely continue to affect the country until the second quarter of 2024, as suggested by the majority of the global climate models.